Expert Predicts Dull 2026 for Bitcoin Amid Intact Four-Year Cycle
The director of global macro at Fidelity, Jurrien Timmer, forecasts a lackluster year ahead for bitcoin as he believes the four-year cycle remains unbroken.
Dec 20, 2025 - Jurrien Timmer, the director of global macro at Fidelity, has shared his outlook on bitcoin, suggesting that 2026 may not bring significant excitement for the cryptocurrency market. Despite being a long-term advocate for bitcoin, Timmer's assessment is tempered by his belief that the four-year cycle of bitcoin's price movements is still influential.
While Timmer maintains a bullish stance on bitcoin's long-term prospects, he cautions that the upcoming year may not see the same level of explosive growth as in previous cycles. The four-year cycle, which has historically impacted bitcoin's price trends, suggests that 2026 could be a relatively subdued period for the digital asset.
- Timmer's assessment aligns with the cyclical nature of bitcoin's price movements, with previous cycles indicating periods of both rapid growth and consolidation. As investors brace for potential fluctuations in the cryptocurrency market, Timmer's insights offer valuable perspective on what the future may hold for bitcoin.
'While I remain optimistic about bitcoin's long-term trajectory, investors should prepare for a potentially lackluster year in 2026 as the four-year cycle continues to influence price movements,' Timmer remarked.
As 2026 approaches, investors and enthusiasts alike will be closely monitoring bitcoin's performance against the backdrop of evolving market dynamics. Timmer's cautious outlook underscores the importance of understanding the cyclical patterns that shape the cryptocurrency landscape and being prepared for potential shifts in market sentiment.